Modeling the multifractal dynamics of COVID-19 pandemic

V. L. Derbov; A. A. Gusev; S. I. Vinitsky; S. A. Mikheev; I. V. Tsvetkov; V. P. Tsvetkov

doi:10.1117/12.2626353

29 April 2022 Modeling the multifractal dynamics of COVID-19 pandemic

V. L. Derbov, A. A. Gusev, S. I. Vinitsky, S. A. Mikheev, I. V. Tsvetkov, V. P. Tsvetkov

Proceedings Volume 12194, Computational Biophysics and Nanobiophotonics; 121940H (2022) https://doi.org/10.1117/12.2626353
Event: XXV Annual Conference Saratov Fall Meeting 2021; and IX Symposium on Optics and Biophotonics, 2021, Saratov, Russian Federation

Abstract

We propose a mathematical model for the multifractal dynamics of COVID-19 pandemic. Within this model and the finite-difference parametric nonlinear equations of the reduced SIR (Susceptible-Infected-Removed) model we calculate the fractal dimensions of various segments of daily disease incidence in the world and the variations of COVID-19 basic reproduction number based on the COVID-19 World Statistics data.

Citation Download Citation

V. L. Derbov, A. A. Gusev, S. I. Vinitsky, S. A. Mikheev, I. V. Tsvetkov, and V. P. Tsvetkov "Modeling the multifractal dynamics of COVID-19 pandemic", Proc. SPIE 12194, Computational Biophysics and Nanobiophotonics, 121940H (29 April 2022); https://doi.org/10.1117/12.2626353

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