Research on energy emission model based on China energy CGE model under the background of double carbon

Yuan Sheng; Yuqi Zhou; Yiyu Ren

doi:10.1117/12.3004157

24 October 2023 Research on energy emission model based on China energy CGE model under the background of double carbon

Yuan Sheng, Yuqi Zhou, Yiyu Ren

Proceedings Volume 12804, Second International Conference on Sustainable Technology and Management (ICSTM 2023); 128041J (2023) https://doi.org/10.1117/12.3004157
Event: 2nd International Conference on Sustainable Technology and Management (ICSTM2023), 2023, Dongguan, China

Abstract

Under the background of "double carbon" development, energy conservation and emission reduction are related to the overall situation of national development, involving all kinds of energy industries and energy-using enterprises, which requires the formulation of systematic energy conservation and emission reduction ideas. This paper constructs an energy emission model based on China CGE (Computeable General Equilibrium) model under the background of "double carbon", and introduces production module, trade module, demand module, income module, energy and environment module, carbon trading module, carbon emission module, government module, social welfare module, carbon tax module and equilibrium constraint module into the model, and makes a simulation analysis. The simulation results show that the energy tax has a very obvious inhibitory effect on China's energy demand. The demand for coal, oil, natural gas and thermal power all decreases with the decrease of emission reduction. After the energy efficiency is increased by 1%, residents' income will rise, GDP will increase by 0.0552%, and the substandard discharge of pollutants will also increase in different degrees. When coal consumption decreases by 5%, GDP, social savings and residents' income decrease the least, and employment decreases by 0.4009%. At this time, carbon emissions decrease the most, by 0.401%, and the carbon emission intensity decreases by 1.1086% accordingly. The conclusion shows that there are always shortcomings in a single energy policy, so the country should systematize the emission reduction policy and construct a low-carbon economic policy system that meets the practical needs.

(2023) Published by SPIE. Downloading of the abstract is permitted for personal use only.

Citation Download Citation

Yuan Sheng, Yuqi Zhou, and Yiyu Ren "Research on energy emission model based on China energy CGE model under the background of double carbon", Proc. SPIE 12804, Second International Conference on Sustainable Technology and Management (ICSTM 2023), 128041J (24 October 2023); https://doi.org/10.1117/12.3004157

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KEYWORDS

Carbon

Atmospheric modeling

Carbon dioxide

Energy efficiency

Elasticity

Industry

Biodiesel

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