Asbestos cement (AC) water mains were installed extensively in North America, Europe, and Australia during 1920s-1980s and subject to a high breakage rate in recent years in some utilities. It is essential to understand how the influential factors contribute to the degradation and failure of AC pipes. The historical failure data collected from twenty utilities are used in this study to explore the correlation between pipe condition and its working environment. In this paper, we applied four nonparametric regression methods to model the relationship between pipe failure represented by average break rates and influential variables including pipe age and internal and external working environmental parameters. The nonparametric regression models do not take a predetermined form but it needs information derived from data. The feasibility of using a nonparametric regression model for the condition assessment of AC pipes is investigated and understood.© (2011) COPYRIGHT Society of Photo-Optical Instrumentation Engineers (SPIE). Downloading of the abstract is permitted for personal use only.