DMT-TAFM: a data mining tool for technical analysis of futures market

Vladimir Stepanov; Archana Sathaye

doi:10.1117/12.460249

12 March 2002 DMT-TAFM: a data mining tool for technical analysis of futures market

Vladimir Stepanov, Archana Sathaye

Proceedings Volume 4730, Data Mining and Knowledge Discovery: Theory, Tools, and Technology IV; (2002) https://doi.org/10.1117/12.460249
Event: AeroSense 2002, 2002, Orlando, FL, United States

Abstract

Technical analysis of financial markets describes many patterns of market behavior. For practical use, all these descriptions need to be adjusted for each particular trading session. In this paper, we develop a data mining tool for technical analysis of the futures markets (DMT-TAFM), which dynamically generates rules based on the notion of the price pattern similarity. The tool consists of three main components. The first component provides visualization of data series on a chart with different ranges, scales, and chart sizes and types. The second component constructs pattern descriptions using sets of polynomials. The third component specifies the training set for mining, defines the similarity notion, and searches for a set of similar patterns. DMT-TAFM is useful to prepare the data, and then reveal and systemize statistical information about similar patterns found in any type of historical price series. We performed experiments with our tool on three decades of trading data fro hundred types of futures. Our results for this data set shows that, we can prove or disprove many well-known patterns based on real data, as well as reveal new ones, and use the set of relatively consistent patterns found during data mining for developing better futures trading strategies.

Citation Download Citation

Vladimir Stepanov and Archana Sathaye "DMT-TAFM: a data mining tool for technical analysis of futures market", Proc. SPIE 4730, Data Mining and Knowledge Discovery: Theory, Tools, and Technology IV, (12 March 2002); https://doi.org/10.1117/12.460249

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