Due to the difficulty of experimental measurements, the issue of modeling the lower ionosphere is still quite relevant. The high sensitivity of the solutions of the ionization-recombination cycle equations to changes in the values of the input parameters requires a high accuracy of the latter. In this work, a numerical assessment of the range of electron concentration values obtained as a result of varying the temperature T and the concentrations of the main and small neutral components of the atmosphere [O2], [N2], [O], [NO], [O2( 1Δg)] was carried out. Variations of the input parameters were carried out within the ranges of their inaccuracies obtained from various sources of information. Below 65 km, the obtained error of Ne values was more than 1 order, regardless of the degree of disturbance of the medium. Above this boundary, range of values becomes smaller and reaches a local maximum at 80 km. In all other cases, fluctuations in the electron concentration do not exceed 2–3 times.
The study of the parameters of the lower ionosphere under quiet conditions and during x-ray flares of various classes remains a very topical issue to date. Diurnal, seasonal and other variations of the charged components are predicted with low accuracy, especially under the influence of various disturbances. That is why it is necessary to continue to build plasma-chemical models of the lower ionosphere and verify them using independently obtained experimental data. In this work, a comparative analysis of height profiles of Ne, NO+, and O2- concentrations obtained from four-, five-, and eight-component plasma-chemical models under quiet conditions and during x-ray flares is carried out. The best agreement with the data of ground-based radiophysical measurements in the VLF range was obtained for the eight-component scheme of the ionization-recombination cycle.
The problem of forecasting the parameters of the lower ionosphere is one of the most urgent in studies of the upper geospheres. The problem of determining the optimal number of photochemical processes that should be taken into account when constructing a plasma-chemical model of the D-region of the ionosphere for a correct and prompt calculation of the electron concentration Ne is quite acute. The aim of this work is to select the optimal scheme of the ionizationrecombination cycle of the lower ionosphere for calculating Ne under various heliogeophysical conditions. In this work, a comparative analysis of the height profiles of Ne obtained using the 4-, 5-, and 8-component plasma-chemical models in quiet conditions and during X-ray flares is carried out.
This paper presents the comprehensive analysis results of the state of the lower and upper ionosphere during an X-class X-ray flare that occurred on June 10, 2014. The method we developed has allowed us to estimate the parameters of the lower ionosphere during a solar flare by the amplitude-phase characteristics of electromagnetic radiation in the VLF range. Comparison of these results with the value of the increment of the total electron content (TEC) obtained from the GNSS receiver located at the Geophysical Observatory «Mikhnevo» showed that the contribution of the D-region (50-80 km) to the change in the TEC value can be 34% at the peak of the X-ray flux.
The research of the space-time dynamics of the Earth's atmosphere and ionosphere disturbances requires complex studies of interrelated processes. The radiophysical complex in the Geophysical Observatory «Mikhnevo», which includes magnetometric, electrophysical, radio-receiving and acoustic equipment and ionospheric sounding instruments, allows us to obtain data on the features of the structure and dynamics of ionospheric plasma in the mid-latitude zone of the European part of the country. Using the complex based on the data of ELF/VLF receivers and GNSS receivers, studies of synchronous variations of the lower and upper ionosphere caused by magnetic storms, solar X-ray flares and experiments on artificial modification of the ionosphere are carried out.
This paper presents the perennial results of ionospheric vertical total electron content (TEC) variations using the Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) data from the Geophysical Observatory «Michnevo». TEC long data analysis revealed a TEC annual variations and TEC decreasing trend caused by the decline in solar activity during the observation period. Spectral analysis allowed to identify 27 TEC daytime variations, which can be directly related to the period of sun rotation around its axis. Also the TEC distribution from the UV solar radiation flux was made. The linear dependence of the TEC value on the UV flux can be explained by the fact, that UV solar radiation is the main ionization agent of the F region ionosphere.
The paper is devoted to the verification method of results of the lower ionosphere models during solar flares. The verification is based on radio physical measurements of VLF signals. Radio wave amplitude values are normalized according to the difference between experimental and theoretical results, obtained during the calm heliogeophysical day, which is followed by the observed solar flares. This method allows to compare absolute values of radiophysical characteristics without knowing transmitter power. Such an approach makes it possible to evaluate the predictive capabilities of the ionosphere model during flares not only qualitatively, but also quantitatively. As a result of the D-region model verification, it was found that the standard deviation of the difference between experimental and theoretical amplitude of VLF signal is less than 1 dB in ~ 80% of cases
KEYWORDS: Receivers, Satellite navigation systems, Satellites, Global Positioning System, Signal processing, Tomography, Data corrections, Spatial resolution, Radio propagation, MATLAB
This paper describes the method of determination of absolute values of TEC according to data of GNSS receivers located in one measuring point. The use of this technique allows obtaining information on the state of the ionosphere in various helio-geophysical facilities. Verification of the results obtained according to the global networks confirmed the correctness of the methodology used.
The contemporary study of the global change of the atmosphere raise up the problem of models verification, namely, we need the quantified metric to compare models. One of such simple approach is to use the evidence on VLF-LF propagation under the X-ray solar flares. Any flare impacts on the middle atmosphere up to 60 km altitude. Its signature in amplitude record is clear and identifiable. We have a variety of radio paths and any season (or even year of solar cycle) in database. All aforementioned arguments make the strong basis for the model check. The response of the lower ionosphere and middle atmosphere to a solar flare depends on the quality of the source term definition and on the correctness of the chemical processes description. Different approaches are known for the derivation of X-ray excess ionization, varying from classic approach1 to huge Monte Carlo simulations.2 We elaborated the numerical model which is combined from an empirical model of ionization (GOES X-ray measurements) and numerical VLF propagation code.3 It successfully reproduced the first phase of the lower ionosphere response to the extremely strong solar X-flare (X9.9) September 06, 2017. Meanwhile, the decay phase was overestimated. Thus we decided to improve the ionosphere model and compare our model with other popular ionization schemes under the flares of various class. Moreover, all ionospheric models under analysis were realised in two modes: the standard mode with constant chemical rates and in the swarm mode with rates dependence on the altitude and ionization rate. The latter have been received in 70-s from complex kinetic simulations of the high altitude nuclear explosion impact on the ionosphere.4 We expected the improvement of results for intense flares and we wanted to check the quality of contemporary and old ionosphere models on the modern data. The results prove that (a) all models failed under empirical model of ionization; (b) the most promising model is IDG5 in swarm mode; (c) the problem of the minor neutrals is overestimated.
The probability density functions (PDFs) of the neutral and charged components of the lower ionosphere are presented and analyzed in this paper. PDFs are obtained using methods of probabilistic-statistical ionosphere modeling. The dependence of the distribution functions of the considered parameters on season, time of day, latitude and solar activity is shown. Based on the obtained difference between median and the most probable values, it was concluded that it is necessary to describe the continuously changing parameters of the ionosphere with the probability density functions.
KEYWORDS: Data modeling, Transmitters, Observatories, Ionization, Solar processes, Systems modeling, Databases, Wave propagation, Differential equations
The principles of the probabilistic-statistical modeling of the D–region of the ionosphere are described. The work is devoted to the calculation of electron concentration using deterministic-probabilistic modeling. In this work the electron concentration is calculated using the five-components system of the ionization-recombination cycle equations. Probability density functions (PDFs) of the input parameters of the model are used to solve the system. It was shown that theoretical PDFs of the Ne are in good agreement with two experimental databases of electron concentration. Results of the deterministic-probabilistic model are compared with the experimental VLF signals obtained in geophysical observatory Mikhnevo from the three transmitters in different heliogeophysical conditions.
We discuss the role and the usage of the ionosphere models in the improvement of UHF-SHF radar operation. The up-to-date empirical ionosphere models (International Reference Ionosphere (IRI), Fully Analytical Ionosphere Model (FAIM), Ne-Quick2) have too crude spatial and temporal resolution. The aforementioned models cannot describe the localized irregularities (like traveling ionospheric disturbances or waves) which, in turn, are regularly observed at the midlatitude high frequency chirp ionosonde. In the presence of such irregularities the additional range error in UHF range can exceed 1-2 km. The poorly known quasi-random nature of such irregularities leads us to the unique solution, namely, the rejecting of the laminar layered ionosphere in favor of the random electron density field. Such new probabilistic ionosphere model must be elaborated and verified on the experimental data.
In the study of the ionosphere total electron content (TEC), defined from the data of global navigation satellite systems, are widely used. It is assumed that the main contribution to the value of TEC is made by the F region. At the same time, the results of many studies show that during the X-ray flares the ionization of the D region can increase substantially, reaching values of 106 cm-3. In this paper, we analyze the changes in the parameters of the D region during an X-class flare on September 6, 2017. It is shown that a correct interpretation of the variations of TEC with powerful X-ray flares requires taking into account of the contribution to its ionization value of the lower ionosphere.
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